- Class Number 4642
- Term Code 3250
- Class Info
- Unit Value 6 units
- Topic On Campus
- Mode of Delivery In Person
- Peter Whiteford
- Peter Whiteford
- Class Dates
- Class Start Date 10/06/2022
- Class End Date 18/08/2022
- Census Date 01/07/2022
- Last Date to Enrol 17/06/2022
This course aims to provide both a macro view of welfare state debates in Australia and internationally – including Asia and the Pacific, as well as Europe and North America – and also develop skills in undertaking quantitative analysis of selected major policy issues such as the causes of the growth of public spending, measures to control expenditure growth, and how to analyse the effectiveness of welfare state spending, particularly in relation to impacts on income distribution (inequality and income poverty), as well as unintended consequences. Emphasis is on a comparative approach.
Questions to be addressed include: How expensive is the Welfare State? How effective is the Welfare State? Is the Welfare State sustainable? Are social protection programmes transferrable?
Upon successful completion, students will have the knowledge and skills to:
- Find and use key sources of data on social security and welfare spending in Australia and internationally, including Asia and the Pacific as well as OECD countries
- Understand key conceptual frameworks regarding social spending, as well as frameworks for the analysis of distributional effects of public spending
- Demonstrate a knowledge of methodological issues in the analysis of the effects of government welfare state spending on key social outcomes including inequality and poverty
- Analyse and assess alternative approaches to social policy interventions
- Compare the social protection systems of their own or other countries with those of other rich or developing nations
Staff FeedbackStudents will be given feedback in the following forms in this course:
- Written comments
- Verbal comments
- Feedback to the whole class, to groups, to individuals, focus groups
Student FeedbackANU is committed to the demonstration of educational excellence and regularly seeks feedback from students. Students are encouraged to offer feedback directly to their Course Convener or through their College and Course representatives (if applicable). The feedback given in these surveys is anonymous and provides the Colleges, University Education Committee and Academic Board with opportunities to recognise excellent teaching, and opportunities for improvement. The Surveys and Evaluation website provides more information on student surveys at ANU and reports on the feedback provided on ANU courses.
|Week/Session||Summary of Activities||Assessment|
|1||June 17: Introduction: The welfare state debate internationally and nationally||Introduction: The welfare state debate internationally and nationally This session sets out the main issues to be covered in this course and introduces the diversity of perspectives that exist on these issues. The discussion outlines some of the controversies in debates about the welfare state and wellbeing in rich and developing countries, and sets out the analytical tools that can be used in addressing these questions. Students are expected to read the following two articles. John Myles and Jill Quadagno (2002), Political Theories of the Welfare State, Social Service Review, Vol. 76, No. 1, pp. 34-57. Barr, N. (1992), 'Economic Theory and the Welfare State: A Survey and Interpretation', Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 30, No. 2, June, pp. 741-803. Additional resources 3. Whiteford, P.(2006), The Welfare Expenditure Debate: Economic Myths of the Left and the Right Revisited, The Economic and Labour Relations Review, 17 (1), September, 33-78.|
|2||June 17: Assessing the scope of social spending: measurement and data sources||Assessing the scope of social spending: measurement and data sources This session discusses how we measure social policy inputs –how much is spent on different parts of the welfare state and how it has developed over time, both in terms of different social programmes and what are the driving forces behind these developments. The interrelationship between public spending and the tax system and forms of social protection not directly provided by government are discussed. Students should have familiarised themselves with the two main readings. Adrian Sinfield (1978), Analyses in the Social Division of Welfare, Journal of Social Policy, Volume 7, Issue 02, April 1978, pp 129-156. http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract;jsessionid=5D157AA8F22670DFBC82D8B00A723972.journals?fromPage=online&aid=3295720 Adema, W. and Whiteford, P.(2010), Public and private social welfare, in Castles, F., Leibfried, S., Lewis, J., Obinger H., and Pierson, C., (eds.) Oxford Handbook of the Welfare State, Oxford University Press, 139-51. Additional resources: Herbert Obinger, Uwe Wagschal, (2010) “Social Expenditure and Revenues” The Oxford Handbook of the Welfare State, Francis G. Castles, Stephan Leibfried, Jane Lewis, Herbert Obinger, and Christopher Pierson, Oxford Handbooks Online. Adema, W., P. Fron and M. Ladaique (2011), “Is the European Welfare State Really More Expensive? Indicators on Social Spending, 1980-2012; and a Manual to the OECD Social Expenditure Database (SOCX)”, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 124, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kg2d2d4pbf0-en Asian Development Bank (2011), The Revised Social Protection Index Methodology and Handbook, http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/spi-handbook.pdf|
|3||June 20: Monitoring Trends in Poverty and Income Distribution: Data, Methodology and Measurement||Monitoring Trends in Poverty and Income Distribution: Data, Methodology and Measurement This session is intended to give a sound grounding in the methodology for measuring poverty and income inequality and the main conceptual and practical issues involved in making quantitative assessments of poverty and inequality trends. This will cover issues such as the income concept, equivalence scales, the time period, the unit of measurement, alternative approaches to measuring poverty and the most common methods of measuring inequality. Saunders, Peter and Bradbury, Bruce (2006), Monitoring Trends in Poverty and Income Distribution: Data, Methodology and Measurement, Economic Record, 82, 258, 341- 364. Miles Corak (2005), Principles and Practicalities for Measuring Child Poverty in the Rich Countries, International Social Security Review, 2006, 59 (2), 3-36, http://www.iza.org/en/webcontent/publications/papers/viewAbstract?dp_id=1579 Additional resources UNICEF (2011), Child Poverty in East Asia and the Pacific, Deprivations and Disparities, http://www.unicef.org/eapro/Child_Poverty_in_EAP_Regional_Report.pdf|
|4||June 20: Measuring the impact of the welfare state on poverty and inequality||Measuring the impact of the welfare state on poverty and inequality Government policies in all countries affect the distribution of household income. They do so through a range of programmes but most directly through the cash transfers paid to households and the direct taxes and social security contributions collected from them. However, different welfare states may pursue a variety of social objectives, with the balance and priority given to each of them varying across both countries and between programmes. This session will discuss the frameworks and methods used to assess the redistributive impact of the welfare state. Whiteford, P. (2010), "The Australian Tax€ ?Transfer System: Architecture and Outcomes," The Economic Record, vol. 86(275), pages 528-544, December. Korpi, W. and J. Palme (1998), ‘The Paradox of Redistribution and Strategies of Equality: Welfare State Institutions, Inequality, and Poverty in the Western Countries’, American Sociological Review, Vol. 63, No. 5 (Oct., 1998), 661-687. Additional resources Bastagli, F., D. Coady, and S. Gupta, (2012), “Income Inequality and Fiscal Policy,” IMF Staff Discussion Note 12/08 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2012/sdn1208.pdf Michael Forster & Peter Whiteford, (2009). "How much Redistribution do Welfare States Achieve? The Role of Cash Transfers and Household Taxes," CESifo DICE Report, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 7(3), pages 34-41, October. Ive Marx, Lina Salanauskaite, Gerlinde Verbist (2013), “The Paradox of Redistribution Revisited: And That It May Rest in Peace?” IZA DP No. 7414, May 2013.|
|5||June 24: Broadening the framework for measuring redistribution: What do fiscal incidence studies tell us? What is the impact of wealth and private provisions?||Broadening the framework for measuring redistribution: What do fiscal incidence studies tell us? What is the impact of wealth and private provisions? Most income surveys include information only on cash transfers and direct taxes, which form different fractions of overall government activity in different countries. Most standard comparative studies ignore the impact of broad-based consumption taxes and government non-cash benefits such as health, education and public housing. Consumption taxes tend to be regressive by income, and are much higher in large welfare states than in small welfare states. Non-cash benefits tend to be less progressive than targeted or universal cash transfers, but vary in significance by less than cash benefits. This session will discuss the methodology for incorporating these broader measures of government activity into the accounting framework discussed in the previous session, and will also take into account the relationship between wealth and income. OECD (2008), Chapter 9, pp. 223-251, Growing Unequal: Income Distribution and Poverty in OECD Countries, OECD, Paris. Philip Armour, Richard V. Burkhauser, and Jeff Larrimore (2013), Deconstructing Income and Income Inequality Measures: A Crosswalk from Market Income to Comprehensive Income American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 2013, 103(3): 173€“177http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.3.173 Additional resources Atkinson, A. and E. Marlier (Eds), (2010), Income and Living Conditions in Europe, Eurostat, Brussels. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-31-10-555/EN/KS-31-10-555-EN.PDF Smeeding, T., Saunders, P., Coder, J., Jenkins, S., Fritzell, J. Hagenaars, A., Hauser, R., and Wolfson, M. (1992), Noncash Income, Living Standards and Inequality: Evidence from the Luxembourg Income Study, LIS Working Paper, CEPS/INSTEAD, Luxembourg. Falkingham, J. and Harding, A. (1996), Poverty Alleviation versus Social Insurance Systems: A Comparison of Lifetime Redistribution, Discussion Paper No. 12, NATSEM, University of Canberra.|
|6||June 24: Wealth and the Welfare State||Wealth and the Welfare State Most analysis of the impact of the welfare state focuses on the relationship between social spending and the level of income inequality or income poverty. But what is the relationship between welfare state design and the distribution of household wealth? Readings Francis Castles. The really big trade-off: home ownership and the welfare state in the new world & the old Jim Kemeny (2005) “The Really Big Trade€ ?Off” between Home Ownership and Welfare: Castles' Evaluation of the 1980 Thesis, and a Reformulation 25 Years on, Housing, Theory and Society, 22:2, 59-75, DOI: 10.1080/14036090510032727 To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/14036090510032727 Additional resources Credit Suisse, Global wealth Report 2017, https://www.credit-suisse.com/corporate/en/research/research-institute/global-wealth-report.html|
|7||June 27: Incentives and the welfare state: does welfare create dependency?||Incentives and the welfare state: does welfare create dependency? Does the welfare system itself induce dependency, and, worse, intergenerational dependency? Critics of welfare state programmes argue that benefits do not alleviate poverty but they create it by changing the behaviour of the poor. As Mead (1997) argues, ‘more important than any economic factor as a cause of poverty…is what used to be called the culture of poverty’. Alternatively, can the welfare state be a positive sum game increasing both equity and economic efficiency? This session will discuss these arguments and the evidence for them, as well as arguments about the macro-economic effects of the welfare state. 1.Charles Murray (1985), Have the Poor Been "Losing Ground"? Political Science Quarterly Vol. 100, No. 3 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 427-445. http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/2151066?uid=3737536&uid=2129&uid=2&uid=70&uid=4&sid=21102116832663 2.Peter H. Lindert (2003), Why the Welfare State Looks like a Free Lunch, Working Paper 9869, http://www.nber.org/papers/w9869 Additional Resources Robert Moffitt (1992), “Incentive Effects of the U.S. Welfare System: A Review”, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 30, No. 1 (Mar., 1992), pp. 1-61. Peter Saunders (Ed) (2000), Reforming the Australian Welfare State, Australian Institute of Family Studies,http://www.aifs.gov.au/institute/pubs/saunders4.html Desmond King, Fiona Ross (2010), “Critics and Beyond” in The Oxford Handbook of the Welfare State, Francis G. Castles, Stephan Leibfried, Jane Lewis, Herbert Obinger, and Christopher Pierson (Eds), Oxford Handbooks Online. Institute for Research on Poverty (1985), Are we losing ground?Focus,http://www.irp.wisc.edu/publications/focus/pdfs/foc83a.pdf|
|8||June 27: Demographic and social policy challenges throughout the world||Demographic and social policy challenges throughout the world This session will focus on emerging social policy challenges in Asia and the Pacific including population ageing and demographic changes such as low fertility, rising inequality and entrenched gender inequalities. In the light of earlier discussion of existing social protection mechanisms, the session will discuss the likely effectiveness of these instruments in facing these challenges. Sidney B. Westley, Minja Kim Choe, and Robert D. Retherford (2010), “Very Low Fertility in Asia: Is There a Problem? Can It Be Solved?” AsiaPacific Issues, No. 94: May 2010. Asian Development Bank (2012), Asian Development Outlook 2012: Confronting Rising Inequality in Asia, pages 35-95. Additional Resources Joshua Eastin and Aseem Prakash (2013), Economic Development and Gender Equality: Is There a Gender Kuznets Curve? World Politics, 65, pp. 156-186. World Bank (2012), Toward gender equality in East Asia and the Pacific: a companion to the world development report, http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2012/11/01/000333037_20121101011811/Rendered/PDF/734380PUB0Box30ward0gender0equality.pdf|
|9||July 15: Welfare and Social Protection in the Global South: Asia and the Pacific and elsewhere||Welfare and Social Protection in the Global South: Asia and the Pacific and elsewhere This session will discuss the variety of systems of social protection in Asian and Pacific countries and their development over time. It will ask whether the welfare state is transferable from its origins in now rich countries or whether other approaches to welfare are more appropriate than state provisions. Ito Peng and Joseph Wong (2010), East Asia, in The Oxford Handbook of the Welfare State, Francis G. Castles, Stephan Leibfried, Jane Lewis, Herbert Obinger, and Christopher Pierson (Eds), Oxford Handbooks Online. Leisa Perch and Rathin Roy (2010), Social Policy in the Post-crisis Context of Small Island Developing States: a Synthesis, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth, United Nations Development Programme. Additional resources Salditt, F., Whiteford, P. and Adema W. (2008), Pension reform in China; International Social Security Review, 61 (3), July-September, 47-71. Asian Development Bank (2011), The Revised Social Protection Index Methodology and|
|10||July 15: Social protection and the future of work||Social protection and the future of work Changes in the nature of work pose challenges to the social security systems of high income countries, particularly those relying on contributory social insurance systems. These systems are based to varying degrees on workers satisfying contribution conditions that require or assume full-time engagement in paid work for the majority of years that individuals are in the labour force, together with formal arrangements for the payment and recording of contributions by employers and employees. They also often distinguish between employees and the self-employed. As temporary work and changing forms of employment contracts become more prevalent, the assumption of full-time, permanent formal employment threatens to become less accurate, potentially undermining welfare state finances as well as the social protection of workers and their families. Readings Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Income Distribution and Unemployment: Anton Korinek, Joseph E. Stiglitz (bibliographic info) (download) version of January 10, 2018 (Working Paper version) OECD (2017), Basic Income as a Policy Option https://www.oecd.org/els/soc/Basic-Income-Policy-Option-2017-Brackground-Technical-Note.pdf Is a universal basic income “challenging but possible”? Tim Dunlop 10 November 2017, Inside Story, http://insidestory.org.au/is-a-universal-basic-income-challenging-but-possible/|
|11||July 18: Controlling social spending: policies and outcomes||Controlling social spending: policies and outcomes Welfare state retrenchment is widely seen as a highly unpopular endeavour and as politically difficult to pursue. This assumption has underpinned most of the political science research on this issue, notably Paul Pierson's seminal contributions about the ‘new politics of the welfare state’. Yet, the question remains why and under what circumstances cutbacks take place in highly developed welfare states despite these formidable political obstacles. This session reviews the literature on the politics of retrenchment, namely on the impact of socio-economic problem pressure, political parties, political institutions, welfare state structures and ideas. Readings Peter Starke (2006), “The Politics of Welfare State Retrenchment: A Literature Review”, Social Policy & Administration, 40, 1, 104 –120. Korpi, Walter, and Joakim Palme (2003), “New Politics and Class Politics in the Context of Austerity and Globalization: Welfare State Regress in 18 Countries, 1975-95.” The American Political Science Review, vol. 97, no. 3, 2003, pp. 425–446. JSTOR, www.jstor.org/stable/3117618. Accessed 9 Mar. 2021. Additional resources Rawdanowicz, L., E. Wurzel and A. Christensen (2013), "The Equity Implications of Fiscal Consolidation", OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1013, OECD Publishing. doi: 10.1787/5k4dlvx2wjq0-en Hagemann, R. (2012), “Fiscal Consolidation: Part 6. What Are the Best Policy Instruments for Fiscal Consolidation?”, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 937, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5k9h28kd17xn-en|
|12||July 18: Is the welfare state sustainable?||Is the welfare state sustainable? Is the “age of entitlement” coming to an end as a result of the challenges of population ageing and rising public debt? Sustainability can be looked at from a number of perspectives including the willingness of populations to support higher taxes and the priority given to social policy concerns over other issues such as climate change. This session will explore a range of perspectives. Howard Glennerster (2007), The sustainability of western welfare states, CASE seminar paper, LSE Research Online, http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/3989/ Gosta Esping-Andersen (1998), The sustainability of welfare states into the 21st century, Papers de la fundacio/113, http://www.fcampalans.cat/uploads/publicacions/pdf/113.pdf Ian Gough and James Meadowcroft Decarbonizing the Welfare State, The Oxford Handbook of Climate Change and Society, Edited by John S. Dryzek, Richard B. Norgaard, and David Schlosberg Ian Gough, From Welfare State to Planetary Wellbeing, The Oxford Handbook of the Welfare State, 2nd edition.|
|Assessment task||Value||Due Date||Return of assessment||Learning Outcomes|
|Class Participation Report||10 %||24/06/2022||26/06/2022||2,4|
|Essay 1||45 %||03/07/2022||15/07/2022||1,2,3, 4|
|Essay 2||45 %||01/08/2022||*||1,2, 3, 4, 5|
* If the Due Date and Return of Assessment date are blank, see the Assessment Tab for specific Assessment Task details
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10% of the total marks will be assessed on the basis of a class participation report.
Assessment Task 1
Learning Outcomes: 2,4
Class Participation Report
Students will be required to present a summary and critical assessment of one of the readings recommended by 24 June. The presentation can be in the form of presenting a PowerPoint in class, or preparing and submitting a short (up to 10 minute) Zoom recording. This can be done in either for the in person classes before 24 June or online. The critical assessment will be worth 10% of the marks for the course.
Assessment Task 2
Learning Outcomes: 1,2,3, 4
A 2,500 word essay will be due on 3 July and will constitute 45% of the overall assessment.
Compare and evaluate the design features and outcomes of the welfare state in at least two countries, with reference to the level of spending and taxing, and the system's efficiency and effectiveness in achieving the objectives of reducing inequality and poverty. Identify any major concerns with the chosen welfare states.
(Choose from the following list: Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the United States, Sweden, Germany, Greece; Chile, China, Japan, Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia. If you wish to compare any other countries, please discuss with me.)
Assessment Task 3
Learning Outcomes: 1,2, 3, 4, 5
A 2,500 word essay will be due on 1 August and will constitute 45% of the overall assessment. Choose 1 of the following topics.
Topic 1: Is the welfare state as it currently exists in Australia and other high income countries sustainable over the next 30 years?
Topic 2: Can developing middle or low income countries develop welfare states like those existing in high income countries or are there other approaches to social protection that they should invest in?
Topic 3: Can social protection policies be adjusted to deal with the impact of climate change?
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Peter Whiteford is an expert on international comparisons of social security policies, and on inequality and redistribution. He is the author of more than 100 articles in refereed journals, book chapters or monographs and he has been a keynote speaker or invited presenter at more than 35 international and Australian conferences. He has written extensively on pension issues in OECD countries, including on the public/private pension mix, pension reform in Eastern Europe, China, Australia and APEC economies, as well as on the living standards of pensioners in a comparative perspective.
Between 2000 and 2008, he worked as a Principal Administrator in the Directorate of Employment, Labour and Social Affairs of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development in Paris. His work at the OECD encompassed pension and welfare policies in OECD countries, Eastern Europe and China. He also worked on child poverty, family assistance policies, welfare reform, and income inequality and redistribution. He has been a consultant for the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and UNICEF and continues to undertake research consultancies for the OECD. He has been an expert referee for the Australian Parliamentary Budget Office, the Productivity Commission and the Australian Institute for Health and Welfare, as well as for numerous academic journal articles.
He has worked at the Social Policy Research Unit at the University of York in the United Kingdom, as well as a Consultant to the Social Security Review in Canberra and the New Zealand Royal Commission on Social Policy. He worked at the Social Policy Research Centre (SPRC) at the University of New South Wales (UNSW) between 1986 and 1990, as well as between 2008 and 2012. In July 2008, he was appointed by the Australian government to the Reference Group for the Harmer Review of the Australian pension system. He was an invited keynote speaker at the Melbourne Institute-Australia's Future Tax and Transfer Policy Conference held in June 2009 as part of the Henry Review of Australia’s Future Tax System, and he participated in the Tax Forum held in Canberra in October 2011.