• Class Number 2290
  • Term Code 3030
  • Class Info
  • Unit Value 6 units
  • Mode of Delivery In Person
    • Dr Charles Miller
    • Dr Charles Miller
  • Class Dates
  • Class Start Date 24/02/2020
  • Class End Date 05/06/2020
  • Census Date 08/05/2020
  • Last Date to Enrol 02/03/2020
SELT Survey Results

This course will introduce students to the main techniques and theories for analyzing and understanding how governments make foreign policy decisions. It will be divided into two main interactive components. The first will be dedicated to surveying the leading theories on foreign policy decision-making to provide an avenue for addressing questions such as: What role do personalities play in the process? Does the bureaucracy have an impact? Where do questions of national identity and ambition fit in? How does the form of political regime - democratic or authoritarian - impact the decision-making process? What impact do external factors and structural constraints have on foreign policy decision-making? The second  component will emphasize participation and application of the theories through the research and presentation of selected case studies.

Learning Outcomes

Upon successful completion, students will have the knowledge and skills to:

  1. explain different theories of foreign policy analysis;
  2. analyse strengths and weaknesses of different approaches to foreign policy analysis;
  3. apply theories of foreign policy analysis to specific cases;
  4. conduct research, think critically and develop academic writing styles to suit different purposes; and
  5. understand the issues and processes described and to relate them to current affairs and present-day issues of significance.

Laura Neack (2008), The New Foreign Policy : Power Seeking a Globalized Era (Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield)

Valerie M. Hudson (2007), Foreign Policy Analysis: Classic and Contemporary Theory (Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield) 

Staff Feedback

Students will be given feedback in the following forms in this course:

  • Written comments on assignments
  • Verbal feedback to the whole class / seminar group
  • Postings through the course Wattle site

Student Feedback

ANU is committed to the demonstration of educational excellence and regularly seeks feedback from students. Students are encouraged to offer feedback directly to their Course Convener or through their College and Course representatives (if applicable). The feedback given in these surveys is anonymous and provides the Colleges, University Education Committee and Academic Board with opportunities to recognise excellent teaching, and opportunities for improvement. The Surveys and Evaluation website provides more information on student surveys at ANU and reports on the feedback provided on ANU courses.

Other Information

The information provided is a preliminary Class Outline. A finalised version will be available on Wattle and will be accessible after enrolling in this course. All updates, changes and further information will be uploaded on the course Wattle site and will not be updated on Programs and Courses throughout the semester. Any questions or concerns should be directed to the Course Convenor.

Class Schedule

Week/Session Summary of Activities Assessment
1 Wednesday - Introduction: Rational and behavioral decision making models Friday - Forecasting
2 Wednesday - Government and societal decision making models Friday - Intelligence Analysis
3 Wednesday - Public Opinion and Economic Pressure Friday - The Enemy and Identity
4 Wednesday - Structural Considerations and Summary Friday - Case Study : Cuban Missile Crisis/ Pearl Harbour
5 Wednesday - Case Study: Bin Laden Raid/ Iraq I Friday - Case Study: Iraq II
6 Wednesday - Academic skills workshop on the presentations Friday - Academic skills workshop on the research essay
7 Cuban Missile Crisis Presentations
8 Pearl Harbour Presentations
9 Bin Laden Raid Presentations
10 Iraq - UK Decision Making Presentations
11 Iraq - Iraqi Decision Making Presentations

Tutorial Registration

See Wattle

Assessment Summary

Assessment task Value Due Date Return of assessment Learning Outcomes
Seminar Participation 10 % * * 1,2,3,4
Forecast 10 % 16/03/2019 31/03/2019 4,5
Group Case Study Presentation 20 % * * 2,3,4
Research Essay 25 % 02/06/2019 16/06/2019 1,2,3,4
Timed Take-Home Midterm Exam 35 % * * 1,2,3,4,5

* If the Due Date and Return of Assessment date are blank, see the Assessment Tab for specific Assessment Task details


ANU has educational policies, procedures and guidelines, which are designed to ensure that staff and students are aware of the University’s academic standards, and implement them. Students are expected to have read the Academic Misconduct Rule before the commencement of their course. Other key policies and guidelines include:

Assessment Requirements

The ANU is using Turnitin to enhance student citation and referencing techniques, and to assess assignment submissions as a component of the University's approach to managing Academic Integrity. For additional information regarding Turnitin please visit the ANU Online website. In rare cases where online submission using Turnitin software is not technically possible; or where not using Turnitin software has been justified by the Course Convener and approved by the Associate Dean (Education) on the basis of the teaching model being employed; students shall submit assessment online via ‘Wattle’ outside of Turnitin, or failing that in hard copy, or through a combination of submission methods as approved by the Associate Dean (Education). The submission method is detailed below.

Moderation of Assessment

Marks that are allocated during Semester are to be considered provisional until formalised by the College examiners meeting at the end of each Semester. If appropriate, some moderation of marks might be applied prior to final results being released.


You are expected to attend all of your seminar classes and arrive in class ready to constructively engage the presentations made by your classmates. This means you will have, at a minimum, read the set readings for the class on the cases being presented

Assessment Task 1

Value: 10 %
Learning Outcomes: 1,2,3,4

Seminar Participation

You are expected to attend all of your seminar classes and arrive in class ready to constructively engage the presentations made by your classmates. This means you will have, at a minimum, read the set readings for the class on the cases being presented. Remember, the cases presented in the seminar classes will be examined on the final take- home exam.

Assessment Task 2

Value: 10 %
Due Date: 16/03/2019
Return of Assessment: 31/03/2019
Learning Outcomes: 4,5


Due Date: Monday 16th March, 11.59pm

Details of task: You must make a probabilistic forecast for each of the following events – 1) that President Donald Trump will be reelected in the US Presidential Election this year; 2) that there will be a military clash between the People's Republic of China, resulting in at least ten fatalities, and at least one of the following countries:- the United States, Japan, the Republic of China (Taiwan), the Philippines or Vietnam between the due date of this assignment and 31st December 2020; 3) that the United Kingdom and the European Union will reach a trade agreement by 31st December 2020. For each forecast you should write a 500 word explanation.

Word limit: 1,500 words

Value: 10% of final grade

Assessment Task 3

Value: 20 %
Learning Outcomes: 2,3,4

Group Case Study Presentation

Details of task: Each seminar class will be assigned at random to one of the cases. You will also be assigned at random to either the ‘blue team’, which must defend the policy actually undertaken by the policy maker in this case, or to the ‘red team’, which must critique the decision. You must use the concepts you have been introduced to in the first half of the course to devise or to critique the policy recommendation. The blue team and red team are not in competition with one another - both teams can get an HD if the quality is sufficient and part of your mark will be based on whether you provide the other team with sufficient and timely information to allow them to fulfil their allotted role.

Value: 20% of final grade

Assessment Task 4

Value: 25 %
Due Date: 02/06/2019
Return of Assessment: 16/06/2019
Learning Outcomes: 1,2,3,4

Research Essay

Due Date: Tuesday 2nd June, 11.59pm

Details of task: Write an argumentative essay analyzing the reasons for the decision which was taken (by the relevant decision maker) in the case study on which you presented in light of the theories presented in this course. For instance, if you presented on the Cuban Missile Crisis you should write about why President Kennedy decided to order a blockade even if your group advocated a different decision in the presentation. To be clear, each member of the group must write and submit their own, independent essay. The assignment will be submitted via Wattle/Turnitin and results will be released through the Wattle platform. References will be included in the word count.

Word limit (where applicable): 1,500 words

Value: 25% of final grade

Estimated return date: Two weeks after submission

Assessment Task 5

Value: 35 %
Learning Outcomes: 1,2,3,4,5

Timed Take-Home Midterm Exam

Details of task: You will answer a series of questions about the theoretical material covered in the lectures. The exam will be of a take home format with an irrevocable submission deadline – late submissions will not be accepted. Answers must be in full sentence form and prepared on a word processor so that they may be submitted via Wattle/Turnitin. Results will be released through the Wattle platform.

Word limit: 1,500 words

Value: 35% of final grade

Academic Integrity

Academic integrity is a core part of the ANU culture as a community of scholars. At its heart, academic integrity is about behaving ethically, committing to honest and responsible scholarly practice and upholding these values with respect and fairness.

The ANU commits to assisting all members of our community to understand how to engage in academic work in ways that are consistent with, and actively support academic integrity. The ANU expects staff and students to be familiar with the academic integrity principle and Academic Misconduct Rule, uphold high standards of academic integrity and act ethically and honestly, to ensure the quality and value of the qualification that you will graduate with.

The Academic Misconduct Rule is in place to promote academic integrity and manage academic misconduct. Very minor breaches of the academic integrity principle may result in a reduction of marks of up to 10% of the total marks available for the assessment. The ANU offers a number of online and in person services to assist students with their assignments, examinations, and other learning activities. Visit the Academic Skills website for more information about academic integrity, your responsibilities and for assistance with your assignments, writing skills and study.

Online Submission

You will be required to electronically sign a declaration as part of the submission of your assignment. Please keep a copy of the assignment for your records. Unless an exemption has been approved by the Associate Dean (Education) submission must be through Turnitin.

Hardcopy Submission

For some forms of assessment (hand written assignments, art works, laboratory notes, etc.) hard copy submission is appropriate when approved by the Associate Dean (Education). Hard copy submissions must utilise the Assignment Cover Sheet. Please keep a copy of tasks completed for your records.

Late Submission

Late submission of assessment tasks without an extension are penalised at the rate of 5% of the possible marks available per working day or part thereof. Late submission of assessment tasks is not accepted after 10 working days after the due date, or on or after the date specified in the course outline for the return of the assessment item. Late submission is not accepted for take-home examinations.

Referencing Requirements

Accepted academic practice for referencing sources that you use in presentations can be found via the links on the Wattle site, under the file named “ANU and College Policies, Program Information, Student Support Services and Assessment”. Alternatively, you can seek help through the Students Learning Development website.

Returning Assignments

Assignments will be returned through the Wattle platform.

Extensions and Penalties

Extensions and late submission of assessment pieces are covered by the Student Assessment (Coursework) Policy and Procedure. Extensions may be granted for assessment pieces that are not examinations or take-home examinations. If you need an extension, you must request an extension in writing on or before the due date. If you have documented and appropriate medical evidence that demonstrates you were not able to request an extension on or before the due date, you may be able to request it after the due date.

Privacy Notice

The ANU has made a number of third party, online, databases available for students to use. Use of each online database is conditional on student end users first agreeing to the database licensor’s terms of service and/or privacy policy. Students should read these carefully. In some cases student end users will be required to register an account with the database licensor and submit personal information, including their: first name; last name; ANU email address; and other information.
In cases where student end users are asked to submit ‘content’ to a database, such as an assignment or short answers, the database licensor may only use the student’s ‘content’ in accordance with the terms of service – including any (copyright) licence the student grants to the database licensor. Any personal information or content a student submits may be stored by the licensor, potentially offshore, and will be used to process the database service in accordance with the licensors terms of service and/or privacy policy.
If any student chooses not to agree to the database licensor’s terms of service or privacy policy, the student will not be able to access and use the database. In these circumstances students should contact their lecturer to enquire about alternative arrangements that are available.

Distribution of grades policy

Academic Quality Assurance Committee monitors the performance of students, including attrition, further study and employment rates and grade distribution, and College reports on quality assurance processes for assessment activities, including alignment with national and international disciplinary and interdisciplinary standards, as well as qualification type learning outcomes.

Since first semester 1994, ANU uses a grading scale for all courses. This grading scale is used by all academic areas of the University.

Support for students

The University offers students support through several different services. You may contact the services listed below directly or seek advice from your Course Convener, Student Administrators, or your College and Course representatives (if applicable).

Dr Charles Miller

Research Interests

Public opinion and foreign policy, war and peace, military organizations, research methods

Dr Charles Miller

Wednesday By Appointment
Dr Charles Miller

Research Interests

Dr Charles Miller

Wednesday By Appointment

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