The Asia-Pacific region is changing rapidly as result of economic development, political change, and shifting international alignments. In many ways, it is the most dynamic region in the world. In this context, it is not enough for policy makers and policy advocates to understand where the region stands today. It is also vital for us to think deeply and systematically about where the region is headed tomorrow - whether the question is economic growth, environmental quality, or military conflict - even as we recognize that our ability to predict the future is limited.
This course will equip students to grapple with the challenge of making policy in a rapidly changing region by introducing them to a few key tools. It will introduce students to the study of international relations, focusing on a select number of trends that are recognized as particularly important drivers of international change. In addition, it will introduce students to the concept and practice of scenario development, a technique used widely in both the private and the public sector as a means of thinking about and preparing for the future. Students will draw on both of these tools to develop scenarios that depict key aspects of the future in the Asia-Pacific region, building on course material and on their own expertise and research. By the end of the course, students will be able to analyze international developments in their areas of interest and to advocate new policies based on their analysis.
Upon successful completion, students will have the knowledge and skills to:After successfully completing this course, students will be able to:
1) Demonstrate familiarity with a variety of different drivers of international change and how they shape shape international relations;
2) generate scenarios for some international problem or relationship in the Asia-Pacific
region (broadly defined);
3) analyze international developments related to the scenarios that they generate;
4) distill the implications of their scenarios for a national government of their choice;
5) convey their analysis effectively through written communication.
Indicative Assessment1) Three reading response papers (500 words each) (30%)
2) Focal question (1%)
3) Topic paper (1000 words) (19%)
4) Final paper (3500 words) (50%)
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Total of 30 contact hours of classroom time, with 30 additional hours of required reading expected over the semester, as well as independent research for the three papers.
A reading brick will be made available to students enrolled in the course.
US National Intelligence Council, Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds (Washington, DC: US GPO, 2012).
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- Student Contribution Band:
- Unit value:
- 6 units
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Offerings and Dates
|Class number||Class start date||Last day to enrol||Census date||Class end date||Mode Of Delivery||Class Summary|
|9680||24 Jul 2017||31 Jul 2017||31 Aug 2017||27 Oct 2017||In Person||N/A|